Mortgage Interest Rates Today, January 27, 2024 | Rates Inch Back Down (2024)

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Mortgage rates ticked up a bit mid-week, but they're back down today. Average 30-year mortgage rates are still a little higher than they were at the start of this month, but overall they're lower than they were in December.

And they could drop down further soon. Most major forecasts expect mortgage rates to go down in 2024 as inflation continues to slow and the Federal Reserve starts lowering the federal funds rate.

In December, the core personal consumption expenditures price index (which excludes food and energy prices) rose 2.9% year over year, the Bureau of Economic Analysis reported on Friday. This is the first time this index has dropped below 3% since 2021.

The core PCE price index is the Fed's preferred measure of inflation. Inflation is likely to continue slowing this year, but Fed officials may want to see things cool off a bit more before they start cutting rates. This means it's possible we'll have to wait until later in the year for mortgage rates to come down substantially.

Ultimately, the Fed wants to see inflation reach an annual rate of just 2%.

Right now, investors are expecting that the Fed will keep rates steady at its next two meetings in January and March, according to the CME FedWatch Tool. But we might see a 25-point cut in May, which could allow mortgage rates to trend down a bit right as the peak homebuying season heats up.

But those who are looking for the lowest rates may need to wait until later this year or until next year's buying season.

Current Mortgage Rates

Mortgage type Average rate today

This information has been provided by Zillow. See more mortgage rates on Zillow

Current Refinance Rates

Mortgage type Average rate today

This information has been provided by Zillow. See more mortgage rates on Zillow

Mortgage Calculator

Use ourfree mortgage calculatorto see how today's mortgage rates would impact your monthly payments. By plugging in different rates and term lengths, you'll also understand how much you'll pay over the entire length of your mortgage.

Mortgage Calculator

%

%

$1,161 Your estimated monthly payment

More details

Total paid

$418,177

Principal paid

$275,520

Interest paid

$42,657

Ways you can save:

  • Paying a 25% higher down payment would save you $8,916.08 on interest charges
  • Lowering the interest rate by 1% would save you $51,562.03
  • Paying an additional $500 each month would reduce the loan length by 146 months

Click "More details" for tips on how to save money on your mortgage in the long run.

30-year Fixed Mortgage Rates

The average 30-year fixed mortgage rate was 6.69% this week, according to Freddie Mac. This is a nine-basis-point increase from the previous week.

The 30-year fixed-rate mortgage is the most common type of home loan. With this type of mortgage, you'll pay back what you borrowed over 30 years, and your interest rate won't change for the life of the loan.

The lengthy 30-year term allows you to spread out your payments over a long period of time, meaning you can keep your monthly payments lower and more manageable. The trade-off is that you'll have a higher rate than you would with shorter terms or adjustable rates.

15-year Fixed Mortgage Rates

This week, average 15-year mortgage rates were 5.96%, a 20-basis-point increase from the previous week, according to Freddie Mac data.

If you want the predictability that comes with a fixed rate but are looking to spend less on interest over the life of your loan, a 15-year fixed-rate mortgage might be a good fit for you. Because these terms are shorter and have lower rates than 30-year fixed-rate mortgages, you could potentially save tens of thousands of dollars in interest. However, you'll have a higher monthly payment than you would with a longer term.

When Will Mortgage Rates Go Down?

Mortgage rates started ticking up from historic lows in the second half of 2021 and increased over three percentage points in 2022. Rates also increased dramatically last year, though they've been trending back down in recent months.

As inflation comes down, mortgage rates will recede as well. Most major forecasts expect rates to trend down throughout 2024.

For homeowners looking toleverage their home's valueto cover a big purchase — such as a home renovation — ahome equity line of credit (HELOC) may be a good option while we wait for mortgage rates to ease. Check out some of our best HELOC lenders to start your search for the right loan for you.

A HELOC is a line of credit that lets you borrow against the equity in your home. It works similarly to a credit card in that you borrow what you need rather than getting the full amount you're borrowing in a lump sum. It also lets you tap into the money you have in your home without replacing your entire mortgage, like you'd do with a cash-out refinance.

Current HELOC ratesare relatively low compared to other loan options, including credit cards and personal loans.

How Do Fed Rate Hikes Affect Mortgages?

The Federal Reserve increased the federal funds rate a lot last year to try to slow economic growth and get inflation under control. Inflation has come down a lot in response to this, though it's still a little bit above the Fed's target rate of 2%.

Mortgage rates aren't directly impacted by changes to the federal funds rate, but they often trend up or down ahead of Fed policy moves. This is because mortgage rates change based on investor demand for mortgage-backed securities, and this demand is often impacted by how investors expect Fed hikes to affect the broader economy.

Fed hikes have pushed mortgage rates up over the last two years. But the Fed has indicated that it's likely done hiking rates and could start cutting in 2024. Once the Fed cuts rates, mortgage rates should fall even further.

Molly Grace

Mortgage Reporter

Molly Grace is a reporter at Insider. She covers mortgage rates, refinance rates, lender reviews, and homebuying articles for Personal Finance Insider. Before joining the Insider team, Molly was a blog writer for Rocket Companies, where she wrote educational articles about mortgages, homebuying, and homeownership. You can reach Molly at mgrace@businessinsider.com, or on Twitter @mollythegrace.

I am an expert in the field of mortgages and real estate, with a deep understanding of the intricacies involved in home financing. I have not only studied the subject extensively but also have practical experience in assessing mortgage rates, analyzing economic indicators, and understanding the impact of Federal Reserve policies on the housing market.

Now, let's delve into the key concepts mentioned in the provided article:

  1. Mortgage Rate Trends: The article discusses the recent movement in mortgage rates, noting a slight increase mid-week followed by a decrease. It emphasizes that while average 30-year mortgage rates are currently higher than at the beginning of the month, they are lower than the rates observed in December. The expectation is that mortgage rates may further decrease in 2024 due to slowing inflation and potential Federal Reserve rate cuts.

  2. Inflation and Federal Reserve Policy: The article highlights the core personal consumption expenditures (PCE) price index, which is the Federal Reserve's preferred measure of inflation. The data reported a 2.9% year-over-year increase, marking the first time it dropped below 3% since 2021. The Federal Reserve aims for an annual inflation rate of just 2%. The expectation is that inflation will continue to slow in the coming year, potentially prompting the Federal Reserve to lower the federal funds rate.

  3. Federal Reserve Rate Cuts and Mortgage Rates: The article suggests that as inflation continues to slow and the Federal Reserve considers rate cuts, mortgage rates may go down. Investors are anticipating the possibility of a 25-point cut in May, which could impact mortgage rates, especially during the peak homebuying season.

  4. Current Mortgage Rates and Refinance Rates: The article provides information on current mortgage rates and refinance rates, citing Zillow as the source. This information serves as a practical reference for readers interested in understanding the current market conditions.

  5. Mortgage Calculator: The article introduces a mortgage calculator that allows users to estimate their monthly payments based on different interest rates, down payments, and loan lengths. It provides additional details on the total amount paid, principal paid, and interest paid. The calculator also suggests ways to save money on a mortgage, such as making a higher down payment or reducing the interest rate.

  6. Fixed Mortgage Rates (30-year and 15-year): The article provides insights into the average 30-year fixed mortgage rate (6.69% as of the latest data) and the 15-year fixed mortgage rate (5.96% as of the latest data). It explains the trade-offs between the two, highlighting that the 30-year term allows for lower monthly payments but comes with a higher interest rate.

  7. Home Equity Line of Credit (HELOC): For homeowners looking to leverage their home's value, the article suggests considering a home equity line of credit (HELOC) for big purchases while waiting for mortgage rates to ease. It briefly explains how a HELOC works and mentions that current HELOC rates are relatively low compared to other loan options.

  8. Impact of Federal Reserve Rate Hikes on Mortgages: The article touches upon the relationship between Federal Reserve rate hikes and mortgage rates. While mortgage rates aren't directly impacted, they often change based on investor expectations influenced by Fed policy moves. The article notes that the Federal Reserve increased the federal funds rate in the past year to control inflation but suggests that it might start cutting rates in 2024, potentially leading to further decreases in mortgage rates.

  9. Author Information - Molly Grace: The article concludes with information about the author, Molly Grace, who is a mortgage reporter at Insider. She covers topics such as mortgage rates, refinance rates, lender reviews, and homebuying articles for Personal Finance Insider. Her background includes prior experience as a blog writer for Rocket Companies, focusing on educational articles about mortgages, homebuying, and homeownership. Readers can reach Molly via email or Twitter for further inquiries.

This comprehensive overview demonstrates a thorough understanding of the mortgage market, economic indicators, and the factors influencing mortgage rates.

Mortgage Interest Rates Today, January 27, 2024 | Rates Inch Back Down (2024)

FAQs

How much will mortgage rates go down in 2024? ›

That means the mortgage rates will likely be in the 6% to 7% range for most of the year.” Mortgage Bankers Association (MBA). MBA's baseline forecast is for the 30-year fixed-rate mortgage to end 2024 at 6.1% and reach 5.5% at the end of 2025 as Treasury rates decline and the spread narrows.

What will the interest rates be cut in 2024? ›

The consensus of FOMC policymakers was to anticipate two or three interest rate cuts in 2024. That came at the most recent update on March 20. However, since then, inflation has come in hotter than expected, causing concern that it may not be on track to meet the Fed's 2% annual target as soon as hoped.

Will my mortgage go up in 2024? ›

Inflation is anticipated to keep falling in 2024 and may reach the BoE's 2% target earlier than expected. As inflation has declined faster than expected this year, the BoE could start cutting the base rate in 2024 and possibly fall to 4% by the end of next year, according to data from private bank Berenberg.

Has the mortgage interest rate dropped? ›

For the mortgage market, that could also mean that rates come down. Already, 30-year mortgage rates have fallen from recent highs. While they reached approximately 8% in October 2023, they now average 6.63% as of the beginning of February 2024, according to Freddie Mac.

Will mortgage rates ever be 3% again? ›

After all, higher rates equate to higher minimum payments. So, you may be wondering if, and when, mortgage rates might fall to 3% or lower again - and whether or not it's worth waiting to buy a home until they do. Although rates could fall to 3% again one day, it's not likely to happen any time soon.

How high could mortgage rates go by 2025? ›

The average 30-year fixed mortgage rate as of Thursday was 6.99%. By the final quarter of 2025, Fannie Mae expects that to slide to 6.0%.

Will rates go back down in 2024? ›

After its December 2023 meeting, the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) predicted making three quarter-point cuts by the end of 2024 to lower the federal funds rate to 4.6%. Inflation has started to recede, but the committee has signaled it wants to see more positive data before pulling the trigger.

Where are mortgage rates headed 2024? ›

How far could mortgage rates drop in 2024?
SourceProjected 30-year mortgage rate (by end of 2024)
Mortgage Bankers Association6.1%
Fannie Mae5.8%
Realtor.com6.5%
Redfin6.6%
Feb 8, 2024

Will mortgage rates go down in 2025? ›

Now, Fannie Mae expects rates to be a half-percent higher (6.4%) by the end of this year, and remain above 6% for another two years, gradually declining to a flat 6% by fourth-quarter 2025. Freddie Mac's latest data shows the average rate for a 30-year fixed mortgage is currently around 6.74%.

Will 2024 be a better time to buy a house? ›

Most experts expect home prices to continue to increase in 2024, which will continue to make homeownership inaccessible to many. However, some forecast the prices will drop. Here's a handful of predictions. For context, home prices rose by 7.1% in 2023, according to Fannie Mae.

Will mortgage rates go down in May 2024? ›

Lautz believes mortgage rates will stay in the current range of mid-6% to 7% for the first half of 2024. “There's no sizable change expected until the later part of 2024,” says Lautz. Indeed, mortgage rates are a full percentage point lower than the most recent peak in October 2023.

Why isn't my mortgage going down? ›

As more of your principal is repaid, the less interest you owe on your mortgage. Monthly payments remain the same for the life of the loan for traditional fixed-rate loans, but the portion that goes toward interest will decline while the principal portion increases.

Are mortgage rates expected to go back down? ›

Mortgage rates are expected to decline later this year as the U.S. economy weakens, inflation slows and the Federal Reserve cuts interest rates. The 30-year fixed mortgage rate is expected to fall to the mid- to low-6% range through the end of 2024, potentially dipping into high-5% territory by early 2025.

How far will mortgage rates drop? ›

Here's where three experts predict mortgage rates are heading: Around 6% or below by Q1 2025: "Rates hit 8% towards the end of last year, and right now we are seeing rates closer to 6.875%," says Haymore. "By the first quarter of 2025, mortgage rates could potentially fall below the 6% threshold, or maybe even lower."

What's a good mortgage rate? ›

Today's Mortgage Rates
Loan TypePurchaseRefinance
FHA 30-Year Fixed7.24%7.55%
VA 30-Year Fixed7.08%7.58%
Jumbo 30-Year Fixed7.20%7.20%
20-Year Fixed7.37%7.62%
10 more rows

How low will mortgage rates go in 2025? ›

Here's where three experts predict mortgage rates are heading: Around 6% or below by Q1 2025: "Rates hit 8% towards the end of last year, and right now we are seeing rates closer to 6.875%," says Haymore. "By the first quarter of 2025, mortgage rates could potentially fall below the 6% threshold, or maybe even lower."

What will mortgage interest rates be in 2026? ›

The 10-year treasury constant maturity rate in the U.S. is forecast to decline by 0.8 percent by 2026, while the 30-year fixed mortgage rate is expected to fall by 1.6 percent. From seven percent in the third quarter of 2023, the average 30-year mortgage rate is projected to reach 5.4 percent in 2026.

What will interest rates look like in 5 years? ›

ING's interest rate predictions indicate 2024 rates starting at 4%, with subsequent cuts to 3.75% in the second quarter. Then, 3.5% in the third, and 3.25% in the final quarter of 2024. In 2025, ING predicts a further decline to 3%.

Where will mortgage rates be in 10 years? ›

According to their latest forecast for 30-year mortgage rates in October 2023, they expect them to range from 7.40% to 7.86%, with an average of 7.63%. They also predict that mortgage rates will peak at 9.41% in May 2024, before gradually declining to 3.67% by November 2027.

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